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彗星雲の起源と進化
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UPV WX.Y Z[\ . ! @]^Q"_ |2 CME ² fgc ³ .qL I´|Lµ3¶6 ^ ±O'uE; B, $; V, D; N, ·; T, Dst ®¯ ¸¹º P 1 1996 9O CME Q8^*o 3. ῏ῑῐῌ῍῎ 12 'uE2j9k Q3 '(`abcde i1O $2D 2 8:;<.= 3M12 fgO#h$%>i #.0P)'( r 12j9k G1 %ty3$2 CME KL0 '(lmn& '(l' 12 $2 CME )> %F.<? .()3%Q%*o12 E2'(Q .@Q12 4) pqr)+QP+. , y~5 fgc.AP[ st$E2'uῌ QMPQ v-w B X 76`C763 *o1'(l.x-o3o>H3O32 fg'. M$ 2 '. %ty3E2'uQn. 12ty.¡"O fgc / zO>1{$ | 2 .}ty. {{ ¢H>12 fgcO%>i£ . 2 ,$."0 $D;E2 %>.F¤E$ 5 ~5 13fgj9k2i D;£2G-w¤¥12H¦ 2N CME > E2'u j9k§¨=>1'uE;3M1 fgj9k.VO>13 2 ¤¥H¦<Q, i 4567 SOHO 4w '(pq=> %'(©I 38Qqfg.tM CME qe'(.G1)2r 5) ῌ4 '(wª« Dst¬100 nT. Dst ®¯J«=2ry '(©I)2 ῌ5 'uK° 5 nT :;D E2'(Qpq )> 20 nT W±.E M 99 » M 12 ¼ 677 C-M=0- NAO PO0Q B R@ # - S TUKVWAXYW>Z[ \ #]R-R@78^ V _ `BabLcdeNfg h 3 CME ] -DEFGHI ] ^-R S i-jklmnOoj \ pq_ R-R@69: rHs5t CME 4VDEFGHI4 V #uvwxyz{0 R -R@69:rHs|}4^~ 6) K-O DEFGHI !" ] CME ] -> ()*+ ,-. *{ fI0- #$ %&' /0123456789:* ; <-=> CME ?@AB4C DEFGHIA0 4 678 JKLAB4 P-C pq_ 23 R e 1996 U V W 2005 U 88 uv CME `B%&' ¡ - DEFGHI¢ 0, £ K¤ 4 ¥¦§0R@¨©ªHsH«¬ RL -®¯°± ² ³¦ ^´µ 1 ³¦ ;VW R@ # B, #¶I dB/B, R@·* V. ¸ N, ¹ T, - Dst ºS <»¼l 2006 U 12 ¼ SOHO WIND ACE !"" #"$% &'( 3 ) *+ 4 ,-$%./""01 $% 61 234 (A) CME 56. 789 54 (B) :;<=> 8!?.789 7 A &'@"ABCDE@F/ G4 B ABCDE/" .HI4 8 CME .ABCE @F/6) :;<=>JKLCE @F/ "0MNO" A P" CME 056QR * + 4 ,STUVW .( 4 XYZ>E [.S\E ]^ (5 $%+ 2 MeV ,WV STY° CME }~E!© ª"st>$% A1 ¬& CME }~E !©#"st>$% A2 ¬& :; <=>}~$% B ¬® $%_`aPbBb7Rc " $d# e f . ghij 56. b4 klm8" n n+', CME o pqa8" S! $dr"st>ῌ6f .#Fue .78" a)aI4 4. ΐῌ῏ῐῑῌῒ῎῍ῌ n8E N*[2 0 o + B P" 8!?QR $% % GOES E78 2 MeV i v&9. ( 4 wYZ>E Z>9P,WVP" $d# .xB4 e f .ij $%.x9,QR @F .yz !?. b4klm8 $% ¡¢H£S\)UVW. " !?'{+ CME |"f ( 5 E ¤¥, ¦¥.,WV $dr"st>.u" :;<=>}~ E E $%st> A B E¢H£ 9Pue.78" 0 § A kE9 B $¨Fa"!©ª #"$%E E "st>$%ῌ7 A1 n849#"$% /. ( ῌ8 A2 «" S% . b4| 9". !I A1 ¬& B ¬® !©2 $¨s t>$%./"9IIHa¯ , ῌ6 ± 1 ,G«$d 3 ²Rc-.³$d# E´µT\ ῌ7 ¶130 nT·x¸ Dst¹¶100 nT. ῌ8 x¸ Dst¹¶130 nT. º 99 » º 12 ¼ 679 e7 CME PQ&' ,-/ JKLMNOP Q&' ,r/ ¨> ¯°±²³ ´y¦µ¶pqOF·¸§c¹$ &'0FG%fg[hijk" % ,e 6/$ 0lmB .b3. b&nopqO567"#$ A1 ,-/ B ,r/ s 6 tt&nopq O ;<4 u e6 &'0FG%fg¥¦ 4 §g¨ >.bNN`a©$ CME P Q sªpqO&' A1 ,-/ CME PQ s«pqO&' A2 ,-./ JKLMNOPQ&' B ,r/$ ¬e 4 1®$ !"#$ "% A2 ,-./ B ,r/ [ s # CME JKLMNOv#.b 3*+Bnw0 t&no pqO;<4 u !"#$ tb;<4xvt A1 B 2 yz{|0}~7) Hv A1 10 [%}NOῌ90 7"#$ !"#$ "% &'()!*+ 6 %{| 6 .b3 A2 ,-./ 0 A1 1234 > .b&nopqO0 NNu% 5670 !"#$ 8"! !" $ H H N N B 9:&'( ;<4= % > CME JKLMNOX ..b* !"#$ &'?@A <;< B%CDEFG##$ H7 IJKLMNOPQ&' ?@A<;<RSTU!V# 8), 9) (PZ6 % #$ *' NOAA 7 $ YZ[\%] A1, A2, B '}N GOES ¡¢ ^_#`a.bcd[ e 5 1 7 1,000 PFU (1 PFU£1/cm2 sec str) [¤= WX ῌ9 http://www.sec.noaa.gov/refm 680 º»} 2006 ¼ 12 » 2 MeV CME !"#$%&'()& *+,-.!"#$%&'/0 1 23456 78 79 /$:;/< =>5 '? *+,-.@#$: AB CD EF?GHI'J'?KL CME &M#$: #$NO PL'?KG C EF?GQ RST'J'?K&D UP?& VW? ῐ῎ῌ 5. XY Z#$&P[\X Y': ]^:P_`a/ #$:'bcABdGef 5'gh&f i j /:kgl/6()&/ 01m 45d 6 Fn o $] Gpq&!r s"aW'U P#$%tu&AB'vw@ (; x)C:*yl/zb#${' |b)+#$},~\] F ?-'.: CD:'; W /:'4W &n0 "?[&; ΐ ῒ 1 2 ? 2 ῑ῏῍ 1) Pulkkinen A., Kataoka R., 2006, Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L12108 2) ³´8µ 2006, ISAS ¶·. 302, 1 3) Reeves G. D., et al., 2003, Geophys. Res. Lett. 30(10), 1529 4) 9: ¸ 2006, ;¡ 99 ,205 5) <=¹º 2005, ;¡ 98, 409 6) Richardson I. G., et al., 2006, J. Geophys. Res. 111, A 07S09 7) Baker D. N., et al., 1990, J. Geophys. Res. 95, 15133 8) Miyoshi Y., Kataoka R., 2005, Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L21105 9) Kataoka R., Miyoshi Y., 2006, Space Weather, 4, SO9004 Space Weather Forecast of Radiation Belt Electrons Ryuho KATAOKA and Yoshizumi MIYOSHI Solar-Terrestrial Environment Laboratory, Nagoya University, Furo-cho, Chikusa-ku, Nagoya 464ῌ 8601, Japan Abstract : Radiation belts show various patterns of evolution during a few days after a magnetic storm onset, and the prediction has been a di$cult problem. Using a 10 year data set of the sun, solar wind, radiation belts, and geomagnetic field, we show that the outer radiation belt tends to be more dangerous for geosynchronous satellites than usual during storms associated with coronal holes, and that the outer radiation belt tends to be rather safe during storms associated with coronal mass ejections. In this paper, we report our new findings and introduce a practical aspect of space weather forecasting of radiation belts for secure satellite operations. Wa34 PD & 2005 5 3 ¡¢£.¢¤¥¦§¨ :V/ LWS CDAW Meeting ©ª«& #$¬&'U#$%tuM6 ®¯'°7l±²P > 99 » > 12 ¼ 681