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Correlational Studies Looking for Relationships
29 Research Methods in Psychology doing 2 learn by DESIGNING SUR VEY RESEARCH How do various people feel about whether gay men and lesbians should have the right to legally marry? To appreciate the difficulties of survey research, try writing a question about this issue that you think is clear enough and unbiased enough to generate a valid portrait of people’s views. Then ask some friends whether or not they agree that it would be a good survey question, and why. Correlational Studies: Looking for Relationships correlational studies Research methods that examine relationships between variables in order to analyze trends, test predictions, evaluate theories, and suggest new hypotheses. correlation The degree to which one variable is related to another. Data collected from naturalistic observations, case studies, and surveys provide valuable descriptions of behavior and mental processes, but they can do more than that. The data can also be examined for what they reveal about the relationships between research variables. For example, fear surveys show that most people have fears, but correlational analysis of those surveys also shows that fear is related to age. Specifically, as people get older, they tend to have fewer fears (e.g., Kleinknecht, 1991). Correlational studies examine relationships between variables in order to describe research data more fully, to test predictions, to evaluate theories, and to suggest new hypotheses about why people think and act as they do. Correlation refers to both the strength and the direction of the relationship between two variables. A positive correlation means that the two variables increase together or decrease together. A negative correlation means that the variables move in opposite directions. For example, James Schaefer observed 4,500 customers in 65 bars and found that the tempo of the jukebox music was negatively correlated with the rate at which the customers drank alcohol. The slower the tempo, the faster the drinking (Schaefer et al., 1988). Does this mean that Schaefer could have worn a blindfold and predicted exactly how fast people were drinking by timing the music? Could he have plugged his ears and determined the musical tempo just by watching people’s sip rates? No and no, because the accuracy of predictions made about one variable from knowing the other depends on the strength of the correlation. Only a perfect correlation between two variables would allow you to predict the exact value of one from a knowledge of the other. The weaker the correlation, the less one variable can tell you about the other. Psychologists describe the strength and direction of correlations with a number called a correlation coefficient, which can range from a high of 1.00 to a low of .00 (see the “Statistics in Psychological Research” appendix). If the correlation between two variables is positive—if they both move in the same direction—the correlation coefficient will have a plus sign in front of it. If there is a minus sign, the correlation is negative, and the two variables will move in opposite directions. The larger the correlation coefficient, the stronger the relationship between the two variables. The strongest possible relationship is indicated by either 1.00 or 1.00 (see Figure 1.6). A correlation of .00 indicates that there is virtually no relationship between variables. Correlation coefficients can help to describe the results of correlational research and evaluate hypotheses, but psychological scientists must be extremely careful when