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電力システム改革と発電事業の最新動向
7 2013 12 20 2013 December 20th., 2013 & & ! ! ! ! ! ! ! & & & 2013 December 20th., 2013 & 7 & 2013 December 20th., 2013 & & & & & & 2013 December 20th., 2013 2 121 & & ( & ( & : :2013 ( ) ) 12 ) & ( & & & & & & & & & & & & 10 & ( ( 5 ) & ( ) 2013 9 ) & ) 39 2013 December 20th., 2013 & ! ! 44 : 2013 (2013.02) December 20th., 2013 26 1996.01! /kWh 2008.03−09! 2000.10! 24 2004.10−! 2005.07! 1998.02! 22 20 2002.04−10! 2006.04−07! 18 16 14 12 1993199419951996199719981999 20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010 2011 2012 : (2)( 3 WG 4-1) (2013.10.21) 2013 December 20th., 2013 & ( ( ) 38%& & ) & ( ) 62%& (2011 ) 50kW 2011 2013 2012 2013 8 2013 9 3.56% 3.53% 4.33% 4.03% 3.86% 3.56% 4.18% 3.94% 3.33% 3.51% 4.44% 4.09% December 20th., 2013 & 7 & 2013 December 20th., 2013 • ( ) • • ( ) • • ! ! • • • • ! • • (ISO Independent! System! • Operator)! (RTO Regional! Transmission! OrganizaIon)! • ! ! ) ! ]! (2008.03)! 5 ! ” ( ! [ ! ! • ! ! ! ! ! • • ! ! ! ! ! • 2012 ! 2013 December 20th., 2013 5,000kW 10% 5,000kW 1,000kW or (4) (13+DC) (5) (26) 2013 December 20th., 2013 1998 2000 2002 EIA 2013 December 20th., 2013 & 2007 7 1 2007 7 1 2013 December 20th., 2013 €,cent/kWh 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0 2013 2011 ! IEA!Energy!Prices!&!Taxes December 20th., 2013 & 7 & 2013 December 20th., 2013 & ! ! ! : 2013 (2013.02) December 20th., 2013 3 3 & 3 & ! & 3 3 2013.11.20 (2015 ! & ) 3 & 2014 (2016 & & & & )& 2015 & (2018 2020 & & )& 2013 December 20th., 2013 : 2013 (2013.02) December 20th., 2013 & 7 & 2013 December 20th., 2013 & : 2013 20 (2013.02) September 4th., 2013 (2012.01.01) ! :CEER “Status Review of Customer and Retail Market Provisions from the 3rd Package as of 1 January 2012” 2013 21 December 20th., 2013 ( ! ? ! ) ? ! ? ! ? ! ? - - (Y12017)2013.05 2013 22 December 20th., 2013 & 7 2013 December 20th., 2013 • • • • 2013 24 December 20th., 2013 & & & & & & & & & & & 2013 December 20th., 2013 3 2013 WG 4-1 (2013.10) December 20th., 2013 : 2013 27 December 20th., 2013 2013 December 20th., 2013 & 7 2013 December 20th., 2013 ! • ! ! 長 • • ! ! 長 • ! • • 長 ! : ( ! 2013 4 WG 4) (2013.12.09) December 20th., 2013 & ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! 2013 December 20th., 2013 1 & ! 2012.06 ERCOT 2012.08 2013.06 2014.06 2015.06 ) $3,000/MWh $4,500/MWh $5,000/MWh $7,000/MWh $9,000/MWh PJM( )& $1,000/MWh ERCOT (2012). Striking a Reliable Balance: 2012 State of the Grid Report August&3,&2011 Natural&Gas Wind Nuclear Hydro Other DC&Imports Coal Energy&Price 80,000 $3,500 2011 $3000 70,000 28.5 $3,000 60,000 MW $2,000 40,000 $/MWh $2,500 Natural&Gas 50,000 $1,500 30,000 Wind Nuclear 20,000 2011.8.3 ERCOT DC&Imports 10,000 $1,000 $500 Coal 23:00 22:00 21:00 20:00 19:00 18:00 17:00 16:00 15:00 14:00 13:00 12:00 11:00 9:00 $0 10:00 8:00 7:00 5:00 4:00 3:00 2:00 0:00 1:00 2013 6:00 $25 - $75 0 ERCOT December 20th., 2013 1 & 10 1 Spees, K., et al (2013) 2013 2 & (kWh) (kW) & & & [PJM, NYISO, ISO-NE] December 20th., 2013 2 & ! PJM PJM & PJM Rule Minimum& Offer& Pricing& & & 2013 December 20th., 2013 3 ( & (kWh) ) ! (CPUC) 10 2013 ! December 20th., 2013 3 & & ! ! & ! 2013 December 20th., 2013 ISO/RTO 2013 December 20th., 2013 & 7 2013 December 20th., 2013 ! & " & ! 3.11 " & & & ! " 2013 & December 20th., 2013 ! & & " & & ! & " " & & 2013 December 20th., 2013 & & EHMail:[email protected] & 2013